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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Miles Sanders Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+133/-183).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 51.6% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Miles Sanders has garnered 38.8% of his offense's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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