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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Miles Sanders's 79.7% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 71.1% rate.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded a monstrous 84.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Panthers.
  • The weather forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

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