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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 10th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to accrue 3.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Miles Sanders has been among the bottom pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a mere 6.0 yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among running backs.
  • Miles Sanders has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among RBs, averaging just 3.52 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 25th percentile.

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