Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Carolina Panthers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive strategy to tilt 6.6% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (a monstrous 62.1 per game on average).
When it comes to air yards, Miles Sanders ranks in the towering 85th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a remarkable 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point gain in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Miles Sanders has been more heavily relied on in his offense's air attack.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
With a poor 72.6% Adjusted Completion% (19th percentile) this year, Miles Sanders places among the least sure-handed receivers in football among RBs.
With a lackluster 5.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (24th percentile) this year, Miles Sanders has been as one of the best RB receiving threats in football in picking up extra yardage.