Miles Sanders Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Miles Sanders has run a route on 44.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line has given their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Miles Sanders has accrued a puny -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 5th percentile among running backs.
Miles Sanders has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among RBs, averaging just 4.87 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 14th percentile.