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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bills defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) this year.

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Mike Williams is positioned as one of the best WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Mike Williams's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 71.0% to 74.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the New York Jets as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see just 123.6 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 46.2 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Mike Williams's 7.9% Target% this year signifies a substantial decrease in his pass attack volume over last year's 21.4% figure.

More Mike Williams Player Props

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