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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.4% pass rate.

Mike Williams's 6.2% Target Rate this season conveys a significant decrease in his passing offense utilization over last season's 21.4% rate.

Mike Williams's 65.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a significant decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 71.0% figure.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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