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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Mike Williams's 6.1% Target Rate this year illustrates a material diminishment in his passing game volume over last year's 21.4% figure.

Mike Williams's 65.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a material regression in his receiving ability over last year's 71.0% mark.

This year, the daunting Ravens defense has allowed a paltry 62.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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