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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Mike Williams has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this year (6.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (21.4%).

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Mike Williams rates as one of the worst WRs in the NFL this year, averaging just 1.7 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 24th percentile among wideouts.

Mike Williams's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 71.0% to 63.1%.

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