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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.5% pass rate.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Mike Williams rates as one of the most effective receivers in football, averaging a fantastic 9.47 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.

This year, the poor Texans defense has surrendered the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a colossal 4.76 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run just 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Mike Williams's 7.0% Target Rate this season reflects a substantial reduction in his pass attack workload over last season's 21.4% figure.

Mike Williams's 61.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a noteable decline in his receiving talent over last year's 71.0% figure.

Mike Williams's 2.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks an impressive decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 5.7% mark.

This year, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a puny 56.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the league.

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