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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

The model projects Mike Williams to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack in this game (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

This year, the daunting Minnesota Vikings pass defense has given up the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a puny 3.3 YAC.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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