My Account Log Out

reorder

Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) this year.

With an excellent 9.4 adjusted yards per target (79th percentile) this year, Mike Williams stands as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.4% pass rate.

Mike Williams's 6.2% Target Rate this season conveys a significant decrease in his passing offense utilization over last season's 21.4% rate.

Mike Williams's 65.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a significant decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 71.0% figure.

Mike Williams's 1.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 5.7% figure.

The Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

More Mike Williams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™