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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.9 per game) this year.

Mike Williams ranks as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging an excellent 9.60 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 81st percentile among WRs.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (175.0) vs. wideouts this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Mike Williams's 6.1% Target Rate this year illustrates a material diminishment in his passing game volume over last year's 21.4% figure.

Mike Williams's 65.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a material regression in his receiving ability over last year's 71.0% mark.

Mike Williams's 1.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a substantial diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 5.7% rate.

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