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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

At the moment, the 9th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

While Mike Williams has been responsible for 6.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Pittsburgh's passing attack in this contest at 14.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Mike Williams's 64.0% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a meaningful reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year's 71.0% mark.

Mike Williams's 1.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a substantial diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.7% mark.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 125.0) vs. WRs this year.

This year, the tough Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a paltry 7.1 yards.

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