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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect Mike Williams to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack in this game (12.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.5% in games he has played).

Mike Williams comes in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the league, averaging an outstanding 9.62 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Browns pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 9.57 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

Mike Williams's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 71.0% to 60.7%.

More Mike Williams Player Props

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