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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

Mike Williams's 10.0 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a significant gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 9.0 rate.

This year, the feeble Ravens defense has given up a staggering 212.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Mike Williams has been much less involved in his offense's passing attack this year (6.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (21.4%).

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Mike Williams's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 71.0% to 63.1%.

Mike Williams's 1.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a substantial diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last year's 5.7% rate.

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