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Mike Williams

Mike Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

The Washington cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Mike Williams's 7.0% Target Rate this season signifies a meaningful regression in his passing attack utilization over last season's 21.4% figure.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Mike Williams's 60.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 71.0% rate.

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