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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-1000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +710 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +700.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may throw the ball less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Flacco.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 68.5% of their opportunities: the highest rate on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% red zone pass rate.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.0 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

Our trusted projections expect Mike Gesicki to be a less important option in his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this contest (10.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).

Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).

More Mike Gesicki Player Props

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