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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Mike Gesicki's play as a receiver has worsened this year, totaling a measly 1.3 adjusted catches vs 4.1 last year.

Mike Gesicki's 53.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 80.7% rate.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has surrendered a paltry 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.

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