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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 129.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Mike Gesicki is predicted by the projections to rank in the 87th percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 54.2 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Mike Gesicki's play as a receiver has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 1.7 adjusted catches compared to 4.1 last season.
  • Mike Gesicki's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 80.7% to 55.1%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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