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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals may throw the ball less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Bengals, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 69.0% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have 130.7 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.7 plays per game.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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