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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Mike Gesicki is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets.

Mike Gesicki's 29.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 81st percentile for TEs.

With a terrific 4.1 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) last year, Mike Gesicki rates as one of the leading TE receiving threats in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) versus TEs last year (69.6%).

The Cleveland defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best unit in football last year with their pass rush.

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