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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may throw the ball less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Flacco.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 68.5% of their opportunities: the highest rate on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.0 per game) this year.

The Packers defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (60.0) versus TEs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).

Mike Gesicki's 24.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 29.6.

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