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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Mike Gesicki has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

Mike Gesicki's 53.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a noteable diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 80.7% rate.

Mike Gesicki's 4.0 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 8.0 figure.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has surrendered a paltry 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.

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