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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In regards to air yards, Mike Gesicki ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a massive 35.0 per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (63.0) versus TEs this year.
  • This year, the poor Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up a massive 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 7th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The Miami defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bengals are predicted by the projection model to call just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Mike Gesicki's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 29.6.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Bengals ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

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