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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Mike Gesicki is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among TEs with 4.1 targets.

As it relates to air yards, Mike Gesicki grades out in the towering 90th percentile among TEs last year, averaging a striking 38.0 per game.

Mike Gesicki's 29.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 81st percentile for TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense last year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cincinnati offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Last year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a meager 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The Browns pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) versus TEs last year (69.6%).

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