My Account Log Out
 
 
Mike Evans

Mike Evans Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+123/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • This year, the poor Lions defense has been torched for a monstrous 1.67 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in football against the Lions defense this year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™