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Mike Evans Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Mike Evans Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +156 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a high 27.3% Red Zone Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Mike Evans has been as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

Mike Evans has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (117.0 per game) than he did last season (99.0 per game).

With a fantastic rate of 0.38 per game through the air (85th percentile), Mike Evans rates among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football among WRs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.7 per game) this year.

Mike Evans's 62.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 69.7.

Mike Evans's 49.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a significant drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 68.5% mark.

More Mike Evans Player Props

Mike Evans TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Mike Evans Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18