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Mike Evans Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Mike Evans has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.0% this year, which places him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.

After accruing 99.0 air yards per game last year, Mike Evans has been rising this year, now boasting 122.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 126.4 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.

Mike Evans's 62.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 69.7.

Mike Evans's 47.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a substantial decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 68.5% figure.

The Panthers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.3%) to wideouts this year (62.3%).

More Mike Evans Player Props

Mike Evans TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16