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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Mike Evans to garner 7.9 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.7 per game) this year.
  • Mike Evans's 62.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 69.7.
  • Mike Evans's 3.5 adjusted catches per game this season shows a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 5.2 mark.

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