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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-124/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The model projects Mike Evans to garner 8.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • This year, the porous Lions defense has been torched for a monstrous 162.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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