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Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-108/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 68.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a mere 55.4 per game on average).

The projections expect Mike Evans to accumulate 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Mike Evans has put up a staggering 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Mike Evans places in the 98th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 70.6 mark since the start of last season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

Mike Evans's 54.0% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a material decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 68.5% mark.

More Mike Evans Player Props

Mike Evans Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3