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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-111/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (61.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
  • The predictive model expects Mike Evans to notch 9.1 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Mike Evans ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 100.0 per game.
  • Mike Evans's 69.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 98th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Mike Evans rates as one of the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 1st percentile.
  • Since the start of last season, the stout Texans defense has given up a puny 59.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the best rate in the NFL.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Houston Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.6 yards.

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