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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Mike Evans is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.0 targets.
  • Mike Evans has accumulated many more air yards this season (114.0 per game) than he did last season (99.0 per game).
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dolphins, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.5 per game) this year.
  • Mike Evans has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (69.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (83.3%).

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