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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-107/-107).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense last year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • This week, Mike Evans is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.1 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, Mike Evans ranks in the lofty 95th percentile among WRs last year, accruing a superb 97.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 1.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Last year, the tough Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a paltry 3.8 YAC.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

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