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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+540/-670).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -570 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -670.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett.
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 129.9 total plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • While Michael Wilson has received 5.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Arizona's passing offense near the end zone in this contest at 10.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Wilson has notched quite a few less air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (51.0 per game).
  • Michael Wilson's 46.7% Adjusted Catch% this season shows an impressive reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 67.0% rate.

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