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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Michael Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-495).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +380 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the league vs. the Titans defense since the start of last season (73.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Michael Wilson has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (51.0 per game).

Michael Wilson's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 67.0% to 47.7%.

More Michael Wilson Player Props

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