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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Michael Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+425/-550).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +415 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +425.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Michael Wilson has garnered a staggering 24.0% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the fierce 49ers defense has given up a mere 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

Since the start of last season, the porous 49ers run defense has yielded a monstrous 1.32 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

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