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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Michael Wilson has run a route on 84.3% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among WRs.

This year, the weak Titans pass defense has conceded a colossal 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Michael Wilson's pass-catching performance worsened this year, totaling a mere 1.2 adjusted receptions compared to 2.9 last year.

Michael Wilson's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 67.0% to 47.7%.

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