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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+121/-151).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals rank as the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Seahawks defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.8 per game) since the start of last season.

With a top-tier 85.2% Route% (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Wilson stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.

Michael Wilson's receiving skills have tailed off this year, accumulating just 0.8 adjusted receptions compared to 2.9 last year.

As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Seattle's unit has been terrific since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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