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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-147/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -147.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • This year, the stout Texans defense has given up a measly 56.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the lowest rate in football.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Houston's group of CBs has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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