Michael Wilson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Michael Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Michael Wilson

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
At the moment, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Arizona Cardinals.
Michael Wilson has run a route on 84.1% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game metrics across the board.
This year, the daunting Buccaneers defense has surrendered a meager 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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