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Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-112).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -112.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 131.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.Michael Wilson's play as a receiver has diminished this season, averaging a measly 1.8 adjusted catches compared to 2.9 last season.Michael Wilson's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 67.0% to 58.8%.This year, the strong Seahawks defense has surrendered a feeble 62.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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