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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-112/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Michael Wilson has run a route on 85.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Michael Wilson has garnered a staggering 24.0% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
  • Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • With a subpar 1.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (6th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Wilson ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs in football in picking up extra yardage.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) versus wide receivers since the start of last season.

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