Michael Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Michael Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Michael Wilson

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run 65.6 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
With a high 84.8% Route Participation Rate (75th percentile) this year, Michael Wilson stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Cardinals profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
Michael Wilson's 68.5% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a remarkable progression in his receiving ability over last season's 65.3% figure.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.3 plays per game.
After totaling 61.0 air yards per game last year, Michael Wilson has seen a big decline this year, now boasting 47.0 per game.
Michael Wilson's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 7.82 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.48 figure last season.
Michael Wilson's skills in picking up extra yardage have worsened this year, averaging just 1.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.66 figure last year.

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