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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+178/-182).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -182.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • Michael Pittman has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 28.6% this year, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Michael Pittman places in the 78th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 52.1 figure this year.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • Michael Pittman has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
  • This year, the daunting Cardinals defense has given up a puny 0.40 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

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