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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Michael Pittman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-176).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -176.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Michael Pittman has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.

When it comes to air yards, Michael Pittman ranks in the towering 80th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 70.0 per game.

Michael Pittman slots into the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a whopping 56.2 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 50.7% red zone run rate.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

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