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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+450/-570).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +455 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +450.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
  • While Michael Pittman has received 15.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's passing offense near the end zone this week at 20.5%.
  • Michael Pittman has been in the 79th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 52.7 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (49.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Colts.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Michael Pittman has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
  • The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58.1%) versus wideouts this year (58.1%).

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