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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -270.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Michael Pittman rates in the 77th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a superb 50.7 mark this year.
  • The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Michael Pittman's 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a material improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 63.8% figure.
  • Michael Pittman grades out in the 94th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.54 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.8% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • Michael Pittman has posted quite a few less air yards this season (59.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59%) to wideouts this year (59.0%).

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