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Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Michael Pittman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -265 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Michael Pittman's 51.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 77th percentile for wideouts.

The Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Michael Pittman's 75.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 63.8% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.4% red zone run rate.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).

Michael Pittman has notched far fewer air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).

The Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (56.8%) versus WRs this year (56.8%).

More Michael Pittman Player Props

Michael Pittman TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13